{"id":15025,"date":"2026-02-02T08:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T13:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/?post_type=america&#038;p=15025"},"modified":"2026-02-02T06:12:11","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T11:12:11","slug":"cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california","status":"publish","type":"america","link":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/","title":{"rendered":"CFTC shift on \u201cevent contracts\u201d fuels prediction-market boom ahead of Super Bowl in California"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>As the Super Bowl heads to California, a parallel fight is intensifying over whether \u201cprediction markets\u201d are effectively offering sports betting in a state where sportsbooks remain banned outside tribal casinos. Platforms such as Kalshi are listing yes\/no contracts tied to game outcomes and even entertainment moments, relying on the argument that they are federally regulated derivatives rather than state-regulated gambling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/mve-ads\/?lang=en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"575\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/10\/mundo-video-ads-to-attend-g2e-las-vegas-2025-to-strengthen-partnerships-and-boost-brand-visibility-in-the-gaming-industry3.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-14037\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/10\/mundo-video-ads-to-attend-g2e-las-vegas-2025-to-strengthen-partnerships-and-boost-brand-visibility-in-the-gaming-industry3.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/10\/mundo-video-ads-to-attend-g2e-las-vegas-2025-to-strengthen-partnerships-and-boost-brand-visibility-in-the-gaming-industry3-300x173.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/10\/mundo-video-ads-to-attend-g2e-las-vegas-2025-to-strengthen-partnerships-and-boost-brand-visibility-in-the-gaming-industry3-768x442.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The key catalyst is a sharp policy pivot at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Chairman Michael Selig said he has directed staff to withdraw a 2024 proposal that would have prohibited political and sports-related event contracts and to pull back a 2025 staff advisory that, in his view, \u201ccontributed to uncertainty.\u201d He also ordered the drafting of a new rulemaking to set \u201cclear standards\u201d for event contracts and said the agency should defend its jurisdiction in pending court battles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/super-bowl-lx-betting-forecast-1-71b-legal-handle-as-market-shifts-from-expansion-to-efficiency\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Super bowl lx betting forecast: $1.71b legal handle as market shifts from expansion to efficiency<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That federal \u201cgreen light\u201d posture is landing right as demand spikes for Super Bowl markets. The Los Angeles Times reported that Kalshi drew about <strong>$27 million<\/strong> in volume on its Super Bowl LIX winner market last year, and has already seen <strong>more than $150 million<\/strong> in volume on its Super Bowl LX winner market, with users implying a <strong>68%<\/strong> probability for the Seattle Seahawks over the New England Patriots.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"685\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15026\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california2.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california2-300x201.png 300w, https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california2-768x514.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Opposition is hardening. Lawmakers and gaming tribes argue these markets bypass state safeguards and taxation, while the National Football League has distanced itself: the Times cited testimony from executive VP Jeff Miller saying the league has \u201cno plans\u201d to participate in prediction markets, and that its internal gambling policy treats them similarly to other prohibited betting for league personnel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Courtrooms may decide how far the CFTC\u2019s approach can carry. In Nevada, the Nevada Gaming Control Board is battling multiple platforms, including Crypto.com and Robinhood, with oral arguments expected at the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit in April, according to SBC Americas. Meanwhile, regulators in Massachusetts have also moved against sports-style contracts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The clash is unfolding alongside a broader betting surge: the American Gaming Association estimates <strong>$1.76 billion<\/strong> will be legally wagered on the Super Bowl through regulated sportsbooks nationwide.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CFTC event contracts rules, prediction markets Super Bowl California, Kalshi volume Super Bowl LX, Ninth Circuit Nevada sports contracts<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15027,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1458,1669,1425,1564,1423,105,4579],"class_list":{"0":"post-15025","1":"america","2":"type-america","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-sin-categoria","8":"tag-america","9":"tag-massachusetts","10":"tag-nevada","11":"tag-new-york","12":"tag-pennsylvania","13":"tag-sports-betting","14":"tag-super-bowl","15":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>CFTC shift on \u201cevent contracts\u201d fuels prediction-market boom ahead of Super Bowl in California - Mundo Video Entertainment | Casino News in Latin America and the World<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"CFTC event contracts rules, prediction markets Super Bowl California, Kalshi volume Super Bowl LX, Ninth Circuit Nevada sports contracts\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"CFTC shift on \u201cevent contracts\u201d fuels prediction-market boom ahead of Super Bowl in California - Mundo Video Entertainment | Casino News in Latin America and the World\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"CFTC event contracts rules, prediction markets Super Bowl California, Kalshi volume Super Bowl LX, Ninth Circuit Nevada sports contracts\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Mundo Video Entertainment | Casino News in Latin America and the World\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"660\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/\",\"name\":\"CFTC shift on \u201cevent contracts\u201d fuels prediction-market boom ahead of Super Bowl in California - Mundo Video Entertainment | Casino News in Latin America and the World\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-02-02T13:30:00+00:00\",\"description\":\"CFTC event contracts rules, prediction markets Super Bowl California, Kalshi volume Super Bowl LX, Ninth Circuit Nevada sports contracts\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california.png\",\"width\":1000,\"height\":660},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Portada\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Americas\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"CFTC shift on \u201cevent contracts\u201d fuels prediction-market boom ahead of Super Bowl in California\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/\",\"name\":\"Mundo Video Entertainment | Casino News in Latin America and the World\",\"description\":\"Gambling news\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"CFTC shift on \u201cevent contracts\u201d fuels prediction-market boom ahead of Super Bowl in California - Mundo Video Entertainment | Casino News in Latin America and the World","description":"CFTC event contracts rules, prediction markets Super Bowl California, Kalshi volume Super Bowl LX, Ninth Circuit Nevada sports contracts","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"CFTC shift on \u201cevent contracts\u201d fuels prediction-market boom ahead of Super Bowl in California - Mundo Video Entertainment | Casino News in Latin America and the World","og_description":"CFTC event contracts rules, prediction markets Super Bowl California, Kalshi volume Super Bowl LX, Ninth Circuit Nevada sports contracts","og_url":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/","og_site_name":"Mundo Video Entertainment | Casino News in Latin America and the World","og_image":[{"width":1000,"height":660,"url":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california.png","type":"image\/png"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/","url":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/","name":"CFTC shift on \u201cevent contracts\u201d fuels prediction-market boom ahead of Super Bowl in California - Mundo Video Entertainment | Casino News in Latin America and the World","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california.png","datePublished":"2026-02-02T13:30:00+00:00","description":"CFTC event contracts rules, prediction markets Super Bowl California, Kalshi volume Super Bowl LX, Ninth Circuit Nevada sports contracts","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california.png","width":1000,"height":660},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/cftc-shift-on-event-contracts-fuels-prediction-market-boom-ahead-of-super-bowl-in-california\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Portada","item":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Americas","item":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/america\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"CFTC shift on \u201cevent contracts\u201d fuels prediction-market boom ahead of Super Bowl in California"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/","name":"Mundo Video Entertainment | Casino News in Latin America and the World","description":"Gambling news","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/america\/15025","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/america"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/america"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15025"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/america\/15025\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15028,"href":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/america\/15025\/revisions\/15028"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15027"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15025"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15025"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mundovideo.com.co\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15025"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}