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 Macau gaming stocks remain intact, supported by a steady daily gross gaming revenue.




Macau gaming stocks remain intact, supported by a steady daily gross gaming revenue.
Published: 2024-01-25

The fundamentals of Macau gaming stocks remain intact, supported by a steady daily gross gaming revenue (GGR) run-rate and solid hotel bookings ahead of the Chinese New Year holiday, brokerage HSBC said in a recent report.

 



 

Analysts Charlene Liu, Jessie Lu and Lauren Cai noted that GGR for the first 21 days of January had reached MOP13 billion (US$1.6 billion), implying an average daily run-rate (ADR) of MOP629 million over the past week, an increase of 5 per cent compared to the week prior.

If the remaining days of January maintain a daily GGR run-rate ranging from MOP550-600 million, the full-month GGR is expected to reach MOP18.5 billion to 19 billion, representing a recovery to 74-76 per cent of the 2019 level.

Near term correction maybe overdone. While the weak consumer spending outlook remains an overhang, steady ADR performance and solid bookings ahead of the CNY suggest fundamentals are intact,” HSBC analysts said.

Of the casino operators, HSBC research team prefers Sands China due to its large hotel inventory and its emphasis on the mass market segment. The analysts also favour MGM China due to its defensive market share and attractive valuation.

The broker cited that year-to-date visitor arrivals track at 70,000-80,000 per day, and the Macau government expects the number to rise to 120,000 during the forthcoming CNY holiday. “The expectation is not high in our view given it only translates into 70 per cent recovery vs. 2019 CNY level, whereas Oct and Nov 2023 already saw over 85 per cent recovery.”


 

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Asia Poker Festival Returns This May at The Asia Poker Arena in Taipei City. 

Macau gaming stocks remain intact, supported by a steady daily gross gaming revenue.

Organized by Global Poker Index Asia and CTP Club, GPI Asia Poker Festival is set to make a triumphant return in Taipei City, Taiwan with ten days of games taking place at the Asia Poker Arena.

 

Now in its third installment, the annual event takes place from May 17 to 26, 2024. With poker in the country growing in leaps and bounds, larger returns have been promised highlighted by a guaranteed prize pool exceeding 5 Million New Taiwan Dollars (~USD 153,700). Raymond Wong from GPI Asia expressed.

 

GPI Asia Póker Festival

 

 

 

 

The Global Poker League kicks off the festivities. It is the most exciting Teams Event introduced in Asia featuring a NTD $300,000 (~USD $9,200) guarantee. Now in its seventh edition, the three-day event will see teams compete in various formats and in two variants – No Limit Hold’em and Pot Limit Omaha. Buy in is NTD $20,000 (~USD $615) per team.

 

Each team is made up of four players – 1 captain and 3 players. In addition to the cash prize, the winning team will receive THM Championship Taiwan seats worth NTD $7,000 per member.

 



Dividends on Macau, HSBC predicts. 

Macau gaming stocks remain intact, supported by a steady daily gross gaming revenue.

HSBC Global Research predicts that MGM China, Wynn Macau, Galaxy, and Sands China will pay dividends in 2024, while Melco and SJM are likely to withhold dividends.

 

In a recent report on HSBC Global Investment Summit 2024 key takeaways, the financial services agency said that Macau’s gaming demand remains healthy, while gaming operators “remain committed to shareholder returns”.  Analysts Charlene Liu, Jessie Lu, and Lauren Cai maintain a ‘buy’ rating for MGM China and Galaxy, noting that both operators observed positive trends across all business segments, with notable upticks in VIP segment. 

 

Macau gaming stocks remain intact, supported by a steady daily gross gaming revenue.

 

Earlier in March, MGM China announced a final dividend of HKD0.243 per share and a special dividend of HKD0.104 per share for 2023. Similarly, Wynn Macau declared a final dividend of HKD0.075 per share for the same fiscal year.

 

With growing offerings of non-gaming events of a different nature, both[operators] expect to see travelers return more often to Macau and the seasonality trend to smoothen out,” the analysts said.

 



Legalization of casinos to be studied by various agencies in Thailand. 

Macau gaming stocks remain intact, supported by a steady daily gross gaming revenue.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Thailand’s Ministry of Finance has been appointed lead agency to consider a House committee study recommending the legalization of casino gaming but will work with 16 other agencies in doing so, local media reports.

 

 

Deputy Finance Minister Julapun Amornvivat, who chairs the House committee, said earlier that the complexes would create jobs, boost tourism, and curb illegal gambling. He expected the complexes to generate 40-50 billion baht of revenue annually. After the plan is greenlighted, a policy-level committee will be established to supervise the project, to be chaired by the Prime Minister, he said.

 

Thailand’s National Assembly to debate introducing casinos on March 28

 

An administration-level committee will then be formed, comprised of ministers and executives from related agencies to consider each aspect of the project in detail.

 

The 16 other agencies named include the ministries of Tourism and Sports, Social Development and Human Security, Higher Education Science Research and Innovation, Agriculture and Cooperatives, Transport, Interior, Justice, Labour, Culture, Education, Public Health and Industry.

 

The study itself recommends imposing a 17% tax on gross gaming revenue – making it one of the lowest tax regimes in the region – with locals to be required to pay an entry levy of an amount yet to be determined. License duration would be set at an initial 20 years and then renewable every five years, while the larger casino complexes would require a minimum investment of US$2.7 billion.

 

The Office of the Council of State, the National Economic and Social Development Council, the National Office of Buddhism and the Royal Thai Police will also be consulted.

 



China National Lottery Sales Down 13.2% Year-on-Year in March 2024 

Macau gaming stocks remain intact, supported by a steady daily gross gaming revenue.

In march, a total of 36.301 billion yuan of lottery tickets were sold nationwide, a year-on-year decrease of 5.509 billion yuan or 13.2%. Among them, the sales of welfare lottery institutions were 12.632 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 899 million yuan, a decrease of 6.6%; the sales of sports lottery institutions were 23.669 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.610 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.3%. This is mainly because the market was closed during the Spring Festival holiday in February this year.

 

 

Cumulatively from January to February, a total of 93.865 billion yuan in lottery tickets were sold nationwide, an increase of 18.832 billion yuan or 25.1% year-on-year.

 

Among them, the sales of welfare lottery institutions were 32.322 billion yuan, an increase of 7.950 billion yuan or 32.6% year-on-year; the sales of sports lottery institutions were 61.543 billion yuan, an increase of 10.882 billion yuan or 21.5% year-on-year.



At least good news from Korean Casinos industry. 

Macau gaming stocks remain intact, supported by a steady daily gross gaming revenue.

Foreigner-only casino operator Grand Korea Leisure which operates three casinos in South Korea and Seoul and Busan under the Seven Luck brand reported a 19.9% month-on-month increase in casino revenue to KRW40.4 billion (US$29.9 million) in March, which was also 4.4% higher than the same month in 2023.

 

 

The strong result, comprising a 19.7% sequential increase in table revenue to KRW37.3 billion (US$27.6 million) and 22.7% increase in slots revenue to KRW3.06 billion (US$2.27 million), came off a 10.1% improvement in drop to KRW321.1 billion (US$237.5 million).

 

This brings casino sales for the first three months of 2024 combined to KRW93.7 billion (US$69.3 million), down 12.9% on the same period last year but on the rise after a slow start to the year.

 

Table drop of KRW916.0 billion (US$677.4 million) through March is up 21.5% higher year-on-year.


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