In a move that blurs the line between social media, fintech, and gaming, Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) announced that its platform Truth Social will soon introduce a new feature called Truth Predict, allowing users to participate in real-money prediction markets through a partnership with Crypto.com Derivatives North America (CDNA).
Prediction markets: the next big bet regulators can’t ignore
The collaboration positions Truth Social as the first U.S.-based social media network to integrate a fully regulated predictions product. Users will be able to forecast outcomes on a wide range of real-world events—political elections, sports, financial markets, and even cultural trends—placing small-stake wagers backed by blockchain transparency.
According to the companies, the product will operate under CDNA’s regulatory framework, already registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). That distinction could be key: while traditional betting faces state-by-state restrictions, “prediction contracts” can legally function under commodities and derivatives law, allowing the platform to bypass gaming statutes in most jurisdictions.
A TMTG spokesperson described the initiative as “the natural evolution of a community built around engagement and free expression,” suggesting that Truth Predict will give users “a financial voice in the debates that shape the world.” Early access will launch in the United States before expanding globally, pending regulatory clearance.
Crypto.com complete one month after they launch Sports Betting in the US with Prediction Platform”
The announcement sent Trump Media’s stock (NASDAQ: DJT) up more than 12% in after-hours trading, with investors calling the product a potential game-changer for the platform’s long-term revenue model. Analysts say this move could transform Truth Social from a politically charged social network into a hybrid ecosystem that combines crypto-finance, social interaction, and gamified speculation.
Still, legal experts are cautious. Prediction markets have a complicated history with U.S. regulators, and even the CFTC’s oversight doesn’t guarantee immunity from political or legal scrutiny—particularly for a platform tied so closely to former President Donald Trump, whose influence and upcoming 2026 campaign may draw additional attention from lawmakers.
If successful, Truth Predict could redefine how Americans engage with both politics and markets—turning opinions into tradable assets. For now, though, the gamble belongs as much to the platform as to its users.
