There are 2 phrases that for my summary this difference of numbers between COLJUEGOS and the Dealers located, the first is a famous phrase by Ron DeLegge: "99% of all statistics only count 49% of the story" and it is precisely What I thought when the famous document that COLJUEGOS EICE directed to the Ministry of Finance began in recent days and that caused so much commotion and discomfort in the midst of FADJA 2019 when it became known.
The truth is that this "analysis" on the alleged impact of the elimination of the presumptive rate that is made in said document, seems to be taken from those equations that govern the methodology for the settlement of exploitation rights, which is based on statistics. of which no one knows where they came from, and that's where I think they overflow the reality of the dynamics of the counters of the machines that report the day to day of that operation and therefore every time the operators see it more serious to comply with tax requirements and operating costs associated with a series of rules that make the activity more and more burdensome.
The second phrase is more popularly known: "The numbers do not lie" because when I read the figure of 189 billion that according to the aforementioned document the national government stopped receiving if the presumptive rate disappears, and that supposedly equals 57% of the collection, calculating and I do a simple operation: the percentage (%) of machines that regularly pay the presumptive rate, for the value of said rate and said, which did not yield a result higher than 95 billion a year, that is, less 8 billion per month, since we estimated that about 32 thousand machines on average were liquidated by presumptive rate, but the President of COLJUEGOS corrected us and told us that it should multiply by 20 thousand machines, after all the entity and has an information system "in real time", we proceed to rectify the figure and we find that it does not reach 5 billion monthly, that is, 60 thousand annually, very far from the assumptions 189 thousand annuals that are proclaimed in the document, and that starting from the worst scenario that those 20 thousand machines during the 12 months of the year report an income in zeros, which we know will not happen.
I think it is time for the national government, and in particular COLJUEGOS, to take a calculator and review the numbers sensibly, which was what the entity initially promised when it told the localized sector: "get connected and then we look at the reality how to soften the situation for the sector ".
And that I remember very well that at that time we discussed it with the famous Dr. Lina Zuluaga and the famous Dr. Cristina Arango, the first one who told us that the calculation of the rate was never going to be by machine because they knew that it hit us hard, and the second that told us that the increase would not exceed 3% for small or 9% for large, and as we warned them with our calculator in hand was going to mean between 20 and 30% increase in the real payment, which is consuming the small and medium operators and suffocating even the big operators, generating a stagnation of the subsector of those located today with fewer machines, fewer establishments, fewer contracts, but unquestionably with more revenue, which generates a bubble effect that when exploded will have no return for the majority of traditional companies that were the ones that built this industry.
Today the sector demands a reasonable voice from the State, a principle that also governs this industry according to Article 3 of the Monopoly Law, but it is not heard, which can only be explained from 2 perspectives: distrust that we are not talking about the truth which is solved easy: with studies, or from indolence which is not touched the soul of the regulator, it will be late except that on guaranteeing the sustainability of the industry other interests prevail which I refuse to believe.
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