Kalshi, the first CFTC-regulated prediction market in the U.S., is turning to Elon Musk’s artificial intelligence firm xAI to supercharge its forecasting platform. In a move blending high-stakes wagering and machine learning, Kalshi will now integrate insights from xAI’s models—trained on content from Musk’s platform X (formerly Twitter)—into its real-world event prediction interface.
The partnership, announced May 20, 2025, aims to give Kalshi users AI-powered context and analysis to inform their positions on outcomes ranging from interest rate decisions to presidential elections and geopolitical crises. The collaboration deepens the overlap between AI, financial betting, and digital discourse.
xAI’s proprietary algorithms, including its flagship Grok 3 model, will be deployed to process massive datasets of public sentiment, historical data, and news events. The result? Real-time recommendations and contextual summaries embedded directly into Kalshi’s platform, designed to help users make smarter, faster bets.
This deal comes just days after Microsoft Azure announced it would host xAI’s Grok models, further signaling a scale-up in enterprise-grade AI solutions from Musk’s camp. Meanwhile, Kalshi has expanded its user base following the 2024 U.S. elections and recently partnered with Robinhood Derivatives to create an in-app prediction hub.
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour called the partnership “a way to make real-world forecasting more accessible, informed, and data-driven,” stating that the integration of xAI reflects “a shared vision of empowering people to quantify uncertainty.”
As AI continues to reshape everything from trading to search, this Kalshi-xAI alliance signals a new frontier: where Elon Musk’s AI meets the futures market of public opinion.
